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American society is on a rollercoaster of transformation.

By Niklas S. Osterman

By the time Joe Biden took office in January 2021, America was exhausted. The new president attempted to, in words, strike a conciliatory tone, appealing for unity . In some ways, Biden’s leadership was a throwback to an earlier centrist style – he emphasized bipartisanship and often spoke to an eroding “middle class” and “soul of the nation” more than to specific identity groups.

He achieved some bipartisan wins (like a large infrastructure bill), yet the underlying polarization remained as deep as ever. Biden’s calls for unity often fell on deaf ears in a climate where each side distrusted the other’s basic intentions. Republicans, now heavily influenced by Trump even out of office, often painted Biden as a puppet of the “radical left” despite his long record as a moderate.

Democrats, meanwhile, remained alarmed by the persistence of Trumpism in the GOP – a majority of Republican voters still believed that Biden was not legitimately elected​, and many GOP politicians either reinforced or at least did not contradict that belief.

This mistrust of the electoral process is one of the most alarming legacies of the current era. Even after courts, recounts, and investigations found no evidence of significant fraud in 2020, about 63% of Republicans in late 2023 continued to say the election was stolen​. That belief has fueled a wave of new voting laws in red states, motivated by fears of fraud, and it casts a shadow over future elections – a substantial portion of Americans are prepared to reject outcomes that don’t go their way.

The very premise of democracy – that we all agree on the rules and accept results – has been put into question. This is a dangerous inflection point, as it raises the risk of political violence and instability.

Threats and intimidation against election officials have risen, and scenarios that were once unthinkable (like the Jan. 6 attack) are now part of the national memory.

The post-2020 period has seen the volume turned up significantly on America’s culture wars. The COVID-19 pandemic, which initially united Americans in vulnerability, ended up leaving lasting scars of division. The question of vaccines, for instance, became fiercely politicized. When vaccines became widely available in 2021, they were heralded by many as the ticket to normalcy – yet vaccination rates split along party lines. Public health measures like mask and vaccine mandates were accepted by most Democrats but resisted by many Republicans, some of whom saw them as government overreach or distrusted the science. The pandemic also wrought social damage: extended lockdowns and isolation worsened an existing epidemic of loneliness and mental health struggles​

Teachers, nurses, service workers – many burned out or left their professions, accelerating the changing of communities. Children and adults who missed years of normal schooling and work conditions showed academic and emotional setbacks.

In a human sense, America was collectively traumatized by COVID-19. Unfortunately, instead of a national healing process, the trauma often reinforced pre-existing divides. For example, a significant faction framed the hardships of the pandemic as stemming from tyrannical government edicts (closures, mandates) rather than the virus itself.

On the left, people tended to blame what they saw as selfish individual behavior (refusing masks or vaccines) for prolonging the crisis. This meant that even coming out of the acute phase of COVID, resentment lingered on both sides, another layer of bitterness added to the political landscape.

In 2022, one of the most consequential events for America’s culture and politics occurred not in Congress or the White House, but in the Supreme Court. The Court’s new conservative super-majority (thanks to three Trump-appointed justices) overturned Roe v. Wade, ending nearly 50 years of federally protected abortion rights.

This decision Dobbs v. Jackson shifted the battleground to the states, where about half of states quickly moved to ban or heavily restrict abortions. For religious and social conservatives, this was a long-sought triumph, the culmination of decades of activism to “restore moral order” and protect what they view as the sanctity of life.

It energized the sense of a conservative resurgence, proving that traditional values could indeed make a comeback in law. However, the ruling also galvanized liberals and moderates who support abortion rights, contributing to a surprisingly strong performance by Democrats in the 2022 midterm elections (many swing voters, especially women, voted Democratic, citing abortion as a key issue). The abortion battle thus intensified polarization, with red states and blue states now even more divergent in their governance.

America increasingly lives under two different sets of values depending on location: for instance, the legality of abortion, ease of voting, gun regulations, school curriculums, even how history is taught, all differ starkly between conservative and liberal states. This “sorting” of states reflects and reinforces the idea that we are drifting into parallel societies under one flag. People who feel out of place in one state’s culture may move to another, a dynamic seen in some migration patterns.

Those who stay in communities that have lost jobs or feel culturally disrespected often perceive the prosperous, mobile “global” Americans as abandoning them. This is a profound challenge: how to maintain a national community when experiences diverge so widely.

Crime and public safety emerged as another flashpoint. During 2020, amid the strains of the pandemic and social unrest, violent crime (especially homicide) spiked significantly in many cities. That uptick carried into 2021. Conservatives consequently started to argue that progressive policies, like calls to “defund the police” or the election of reformist prosecutors in some cities, were making communities less safe.

Crime is affected by many factors, and the 2020 spike was nationwide, including in cities with traditional policing, but the perception took root. In places like San Francisco, a liberal bastion, voters recalled a left-leaning district attorney, blaming him for crime issues. Nationally, Republicans pounded the message that Democrats were soft on crime and chaos. Meanwhile, those on the left pointed to the easy availability of guns (after years of loosening gun laws in red states and a surge in gun purchases during pandemic fear) as a major cause of violence, and they highlighted that many of the states with the worst crime rates were actually Republican-led.

Nonetheless, fear of crime became a potent political force, pushing some moderates and independents towards the law-and-order rhetoric of Republicans. It also caused internal tensions among Democrats: between the activist base demanding criminal justice reform and racial justice, and more centrist Dems who urged a tougher stance on crime to win back working-class voters. This debate,is rooted in human experiences, the real trauma of communities of disproportionately affected by aggressive policing, versus the trauma of victims of crime and their loved ones.

Both perspectives asks for safety and dignity, yet in the polarized climate, it’s hard to find solutions that address both. Instead, the issue often gets weaponized: one side invoking victims of crime, the other invoking victims of police brutality, each accusing the other of callousness.

Looking at the bigger picture, many are asking fundamental questions about the American trajectory. Has the liberal model of the past few decades reached its limits? “Liberalism” in this context refers broadly to the post-Cold War consensus of free-market capitalism, individual rights, globalization, and a secular, multicultural social order. By 2020, cracks in that consensus were glaring. On the right, a growing chorus argues that this liberal order undermined community, tradition, and stability. They point to phenomena like family breakdown, the opioid epidemic, declining church membership, and the sense of meaninglessness reported by many youths.

To some, right or wrong, the answer is a conservative resurgence, a return to or reinvention of traditional values centered on faith, family, nation, and local community. We see this in the rhetoric of “Make America Great Again.”

The MAGA movement is fueled by an idealized America of strong families, good factory jobs, and cultural homogeneity (though that past wasn’t ideal for everyone, it lives powerfully in memory for many). More concretely, this resurgence takes form in efforts to reassert religion in public life (from school boards pushing Bible literacy classes to Supreme Court decisions allowing more prayer in schools), to restrict what’s seen as corrosive cultural influences (bans on certain books or on teaching about sexuality/gender to young kids), and to promote patriotism (some states mandating patriotic education initiatives).

Even economically, some on the right now advocate industrial policy – using government to foster manufacturing and self-sufficiency – a break from pure free-market thinking, in order to rebuild the working-class livelihood. In short, a segment of America is searching for stability in older pillars of identity: church, family, nation-state. This segment feels that the pendulum swung too far toward globalism and social liberalism, eroding the solidarity that comes from common culture and norms.

There is also rethinking of liberalism, and sometimes the line separating the extreme ends of both parties is slim. Many progressives argue interestingly enough, like som MAGA that the neoliberal economic model (deregulation, globalization, etc.) failed to deliver for the common man – it produced extreme inequality and instability (culminating in the 2008 crash and the hollowing out of the middle class).

Liberals generally seek more social-democratic or collectivist solutions: stronger social safety nets, higher taxes on the wealthy, bold action on climate change to preserve the future, and a deeper reckoning with America’s history of racial and gender oppression to truly achieve equality. This wing, like MAGA sees the limits of liberalism in its inability to address issues like corporate power, healthcare access.

Both sides often view, that simply returning to Clintonian centrism or Obama-era incrementalism won’t solve those big problems, more structural change is needed.

Some within the Democratic Party caution that focusing too much on academic theories of race/gender or embracing “woke” terminology alienates potential allies and that labels separate us more than they unite us. The Third Way analysis warns that many working-class voters feel Democrats care more about “niche identity-based groups” than about “regular” people like them​

These views advises Democrats to better honor patriotism, family, values and institutions like churches or police that a majority of Americans actually value​. Essentially, the third way politicians argues the both sides must balance its more extreme factions with an understanding of more traditional perspectives to avoid a total conservative realignment of the working class.

So, we have both left and right in America somewhat disillusioned with the status quo, albeit blaming different culprits.

What about those in the center or politically weary? There is a large and growing segment of Americans, who are just tired of the chaos and conflict. Polls frequently find that a strong majority think the country is on the wrong track, and significant numbers express desire for a third-party or moderate alternative.

People want stability and to make a decent living more than anything else. This yearning is not blue, red or ideological; it’s a very human emotional state.

After living through terror attacks, wars, financial meltdowns, bitter elections, a pandemic, and social unrest, a majority of Americans feel a fatigue and yearning for when life felt more normal or unified. These feelings crosses party lines: one could see it in Biden’s promise of a return to normalcy, which helped him win in 2020 by attracting moderates tired of political stalemate and turbulence.

One can also see it in cross party appeals to “law and order” and “our best days ahead”essentially, promises to make things feel safe and stable again.

There’s also a renewed interest in localism as a refuge – people across the board are feeling a growing apathy towards a federal government and the political class that they see as being far removed from the realities and struggles they experience in their private lives. Many turn to investing energy in their local communities, where they feel they have more control and common ground, as an antidote to national polarization.

Movements for local agriculture, local news, and community-based civic projects needs to gain steam, uniting people across ideologies on the ground even if national politics remain divisive. On a human level, people crave face-to-face connection and practical cooperation, which our hyper-online, hyper-partisan national arena isn’t providing.

In a philosophical sense, America is soul-searching. After the end-of-history triumphalism of the 1990s (when it was assumed Western liberal democracy had proven itself the ultimate system), the nation now finds itself unsure of its future course. We have one foot in liberal individualism and one foot wanting community and tradition. The rapid changes, economic globalization, technological revolution, demographic shifts, have been and remain to be profoundly disorienting.

Many feel unmoored, and in that state people reach for different anchors. Some reach for the anchor of tradition (be it religion, nationalism, or cultural nostalgia), while others reach for the anchor of progress (a vision of a more just, green, and equitable future). The tug-of-war between these visions defines our current polarization. Both contain legitimate human needs: one for belonging and order, another for justice and inclusion. The tragedy is that our political system often frames it as a zero-sum clash, as if one must choose between them.

As of 2025, the inflection points of the past three decades have left the United States at a crossroads. Economic dislocation hollowed out communities and fostered resentment; political transformations broke the center and aligned parties along new class and cultural lines; media evolution splintered the public into information tribes; key figures and policies from Clinton to Bush, Obama to Trump and Biden all contributed to shifts in trust and alignment; cultural convulsions around religion, race, and identity have both liberated and alienated; and overarching all of this is a sense that the American project of liberal democracy must adapt or falter.

Are we witnessing the limits of the American liberal experiment? Or are we simply in a cycle of tension that will eventually produce a new equilibrium? Is a conservative restoration imminent, a return to older values, or will the future be a recommitment to pluralistic, liberal ideals but with reforms? Writers like Patrick Deneen, for instance, argue liberalism failed because it atomized society and eroded virtue, while others like Francis Fukuyama counter that liberal democracy can and must be rejuvenated by addressing its shortcomings without discarding its freedoms. Even within the American conservative movement, there’s a debate: some want to fully embrace populist nationalism and even Christian nationalism, while others (traditional pro-business conservatives) are uneasy with that shift. On the left, debates rage between incremental pragmatists and bold structural reformers. In other words, the search for meaning and stability is happening across the spectrum, not in a unified way, but everyone feels the ground shifting.

The future of American society will depend on whether it can reconcile these differences in a constructive way. History gives reason for both caution and hope. On one hand, other republics that became deeply polarized, especially when compounded by economic inequality and media echo chambers, have seen democracy backslide or social cohesion deteriorate.

On the other, the United States has endured intense divides before (the 1960s upheavals, for example, or even the 19th-century conflicts) and eventually found a path forward. There is a growing realization among citizens and leaders of good faith that a new social contract is needed: one that restores economic dignity to those left behind by globalization, rebuilds trust in institutions through transparency and accountability, respects America’s diversity while also honoring what people hold sacred (be it faith or patriotism), and secures a shared factual foundation in our media space. Achieving this will require listening – genuine empathetic listening, to the fears and hopes of all communities. Whether it’s the laid-off factory worker in Ohio, the single mother struggling in Chicago, the devout farmer in Alabama, or the young activist in Seattle, each has a piece of the American story. An understanding of our polarization means recognizing the wounds and aspirations behind the anger.

From 1990 to today, American society has been on a rollercoaster of transformation. Global economic shifts lifted some and devastated others, political realignments gave voice to new factions while silencing old consensus, and technological and media changes connected us in new ways while paradoxically also drives us apart​. Clinton’s triangulations, Bush’s wars, Obama’s breakthroughs and backlashes, Trump’s norm-shattering politics, and Biden’s attempts at restoration each added layers to the national narrative.

Communities and cultures have been pulled apart and patched together in new configurations, testing the resilience of America’s social fabric. We stand at a point where the choices we make, in policy, in rhetoric, in how we treat our neighbors, will determine whether the United States heals or further fractures.

The polarization is real and deep, but it is not immutable. Understanding its roots, is a first step. The next step is up to Americans themselves, to decide if E pluribus unum, out of many, one, is just a meaningless motto or a lived reality that can be reinvigorated for a new era. The hope is that by acknowledging the legitimate concerns on all sides and finding common ground in our shared humanity, American society can navigate through this period of division and emerge with a renewed sense of unity and purpose.

2ndrevolution.org

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